I ruled out the Catfish-Manatee traverse a couple years back after failed attempts to verify the Manatee exit (too strong of flow to penetrate against). Unverified traverses are a no-no in my book. For the same reason I avoid going into syphons like Lightning spring which have potential to turn into a one way trip. Call me wimpy tourist diver - I am fine with it.
It sounds like the group found a way to exit less the female. I wonder how she ended up elsewhere pinned. Must have been a hell of a recovery effort.
(I think I have met a group from china at Peacock matching the description here. They seemed well equipped and knowing what they are doing. The only unusual thing about them was that the males couldn't wait to drop their cylinders before lighting cigarettes. Never understood mixing up heavy smoking and diving. Sad to hear they lost a diver.)
I think the community is making excellent progress with the Eagle Nest and Kalimba reports. Sheck had the right idea that accident analysis reports should be made public for the sake of evolving the community's risk comprehension and management approach. The aviation community has been doing it for long long time with excellent results. Just check out the NTSB web site containing full details on every single aviation incident since 1962 (https://www.ntsb.gov/_layouts/ntsb.aviation/Month.aspx)
I don't comprehend the regressive mentality of the IUCRR of the last few years. Liability and speculation control are just some sort of random excuses that make zero sense. There is no excise for holding back safety related information that could prevent future occurrences of the same accident and letting gossip run wild. Learn from the best practices of the longer established safety-oriented technical communities out there. Anyone who feels otherwise should incinerate their copy of the Blueprint for Survival and hang up their fins.
In february 2017 I dove Manatee and we tried to get in from Manatee springs, that was not possible. Then we went to Catfish and dove to Friedman. That was possible, but still heavy current. A few days later a local took us to Friedman were we did a circuit and then let is flow to Catfish and then out to Manatee springs. You need to do it one by one and after you exit, grab the tree, throw yourself over the tree or you will miss your decostop. Yes it was a great dive, but I would never do this exit without a local. The same person now says you cannot do the exit anymore. So I would not try to do it nowadays.
I understand wanting answers because with every accident questions like this arise with newer people especially. Cave diving has its hazards which can be unforgiving, and when an accident happens people want answers as form of the defense mechanism rationalization, to basically validate their doing the sport, because this won't happen to me because..... Right now the best we have is speculation because the answers may or may not come out, and if we are lucky the dive buddies will fill in the blanks of missing information. Fast moving water has its hazards, and performing exits from the head spring at Manatee has always been very difficult. Advice going forward- get a mentor, go slow, ask questions of people familiar with systems, be conservative 1/3rds is overly liberal, stay within your limits to name a few.
"Not all change is improvement...but all improvement is change" Donald Berwick
No offense there are no locals with magic powers to ensure someone's safety. Once you are in the flow you are at the mercy of the water, and there is no verbal communication from a local that can help you with the process. The best a local can do is give you surface instruction, and if you get in trouble maybe/maybe not help you. If the conditions are real challenging there are 3 people that can help: me, myself and I.
"Not all change is improvement...but all improvement is change" Donald Berwick
True, but there are sometimes places that are better a first time with someone who knows the site. When we did it, it was the 'old wide' opening. The person were we dove with now says also you cannot do it anymore. When we did it, you could go back to Catfish if you really wanted from the place I took the picture. But once in this exit you could not go back anymore.
This was a picture I took from the opening:
Now it seems to be just 1 man wide.
So it is not possible anymore. If you don't have the information that it is blocked now, this could be a risk, because on maps it looks like it is possible to do and on old videos you also can see people doing it. When we looked at the exit during a dive in Manatee itself you could see the tunnel inside. Where it widened again. I don't know how it looks like now, from Manatee you don't see the cave inside anymore?
The best to tell people not to do it anymore is to let them sign this rule when signing up for diving I think. Only go upstream from Catfish. And change maps to tell people the exit is now unsafe blocked or something.
Interesting, so according to an IANTD instructor you don't have to set up a traverse anymore? You just have to ask somebody whether it's ok? Is that what people being taught these days?
I was taught to verify an exit for myself and don't do any trust-me circuits and traverses.
"Have you ever noticed
When you're feeling really good
There's always a pigeon
That'll come shiat on your hood?" John Prine 4-7-2020
"Into the blue again; in the silent water
Under the rocks, and stones; there is water underground" Talking Heads
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