Quote Originally Posted by rddvet View Post
Yeah it doesnt work that way either. I?m not an epidemiologist so I dont know what the answer will be. But I have advanced training in epidemiology and public health and I can confidently tell you both of those extrapolations dont fit with statistical prediction methos for something like this. I really wish people would stop being arm chair statisticians. The people who?s statistical epidemiology training makes mine look like kindergarten honestly don?t even have a clue where the final numbers will lie.


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I have no medical background, but do have a high degree of training in statistical analysis, and have worked in that field.

I have seen so much poor analysis lately it drives me nuts. Some is so bad, I can only assume bias. ...or a commitment to being obtuse at the very least.