Where to start, where to start....I don't have all the details about these accidents, but as in most accidents, there is a series of events that could have been stopped at any point, but were allowed to progress too far to safely return.
Both of these dives had poor or incomplete plans before they left the divers left the surface. Sometimes that is ok, but means you have deferred all risk assessment to happen in real time on the dive. Is the team capable of doing that? Be honest with yourself. If you aren't capable of making proper assessments, get someone to dive with you that has more experience, knows the location, or both.
Case 1: Instructor and 2 students plan a simple jump. None of the divers are familiar with the jump including the instructor. I don't know who the instructor teaches for (it's not NACD or NSS-CDS, I've looked at the online instructor lists). I don't know if there are any standards this violates, but it seems pretty basic not to be doing training in a location that you are not familiar with, both to protect the cave and the students. Anyways, on the dive they located the wrong jump. They continue swimming as the passage gets smaller and siltier. The guy in front goes through some pretty nasty stuff and never stops to turn the dive. Student in position 2 is certainly following line in low to 0 vis going into the passage and never has the sense to stop. The instructor in the 3rd position doesn't fit and can't see anything, and does have enough sense to realize there is a big problem. He realizes that he couldn't do anything to fix it. I don't know if it was a gutsy call to leave and get help or terror inspired or what. I'm sure that was very difficult, but he got lucky that he got to Edd and the students didn't run out of gas before Edd found them. The entire spiral of events after the first couple of mistakes is unclear, but they didn't follow the basic tenant of getting on line and reversing course. Why, I don't know but the incident could have been avoided well before they found themselves in that position.
Case 2: A group of divers (4) plans to do a jump in a side passage that is unknown to all of them. I don't know if they were a team of 4 or 2 teams of 2 but they seemed to all be diving together. This was the first mistake: Going into small unknown territory with a large team. In large cave, there can be a little bit of safety in numbers, but in smaller passages this is simply not a good idea, especially in unknown territory. They had gathered some information about where they planned on going but not enough. So on the dive, they missed the jump as the team above. At least this time some of the team did not follow. I don't have any details from here to continue, but at least the first guy got too far into trouble and was also unable to back track. We know that they didn't have any idea where they were because even when describing to Frank and Edd where the missing diver was last seen, they told him it had occurred in the other jump. They had no idea they had been in the wrong location.
In the caves, we can't safety proof everything. Even if we could where does it stop? At some point the diver in the water has to make a judgement call. In both of these dives, the lead diver made the mistake of not turning around soon enough. What is easy for you may not be easy for me, and vice versa. As a diver, you have to look ahead and evaluate if what you can see is within your capabilities. If you can't see the next corner or the next wide spot that you can turn around in and you continue, you have just accepted an unknown risk. If you are touching the ceiling and the silt at the same time, you didn't just appear there, you had to intentionally go into it. Do we need a sign that says this is an advanced passage, or is the height of the passage and fine silt on the floor enough?


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