North Florida Weather

Will Ginnie be next?

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1125 AM EST TUE MAR 04 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...

SANTA FE RIVER AT THREE RIVERS ESTATES AFFECTING COLUMBIA...
GILCHRIST AND SUWANNEE COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST...

THE RIVER STAGE AT 7 AM WAS 17.1 FEET AND RISING. THE THE RIVER IS
FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD ON FRIDAY 7 MARCH AT 7 PM AND CREST AT 19.4
19.6 FEET ON MONDAY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. TURN
AROUND...DON`T DROWN. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST
DEVELOPMENTS.

FLC023-041-121-051625-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0005.080308T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TREF1.1.ER.080308T0000Z.080310T2300Z.000000T0000Z. NO/
1125 AM EST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE SANTA FE RIVER AT THREE RIVERS ESTATES.
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING.

$$

&&

FLD OBSERVED 7AM FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI SAT SUN

SANTA FE
THREE RIVE 19.0 17.4 TUE 09 AM 18.0 18.4 18.8 19.2 19.4

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Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
501 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2008

FLZ020>023-030>032-035>037-040-042300-
ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-PUTNAM-
SUWANNEE-UNION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GAINESVILLE...GREEN COVE SPRINGS...LAKE CITY...
LIVE OAK...OCALA...PALATKA
501 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2008

.NOW...
THROUGH 6 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO LAKE
CITY...TRENTON...BELL...OLENO STATE PARK AND HIGH SPRINGS. LIGHTNING AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD BE EXPECTED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY MOVE
NORTHEAST AT 30 MILES AN HOUR.

$$

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Lake Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
320 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2008

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-042300-
/O.CON.KJAX.LW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-080304T2300Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JASPER...LIVE OAK...LAKE CITY...
MACCLENNY...FERNANDINA BEACH...JACKSONVILLE...LAKE BUTLER...
STARKE...GREEN COVE SPRINGS...ST AUGUSTINE...TRENTON...
GAINESVILLE...PALATKA...PALM COAST...OCALA...DOUGLAS...
HAZLEHURST...ALMA...BAXLEY...JESUP...PEARSON...WAY CROSS...
BLACKSHEAR...NAHUNTA...BRUNSWICK...STATENVILLE...H OMERVILLE...
FOLKSTON...WOODBINE...ST MARYS
320 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

AN INTENSIFYING STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL CAUSE
SOUTHERLY WINDS NEAR 20 MPH WITH GUSTS ABOVE 30 MPH ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO
25 MPH OR GUSTS OF 30 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED. SMALL BOATS WILL BE
ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. BOATERS IN THE ADVISORY AREA
SHOULD AVOID OPEN WATER AND STAY CLOSE TO SHORE IN WIND PROTECTED
INLETS. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING AS WELL.

$$

MKT

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
618 AM EST TUE MAR 4 2008

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-051015-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
618 AM EST TUE MAR 4 2008

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY TODAY...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS LINE WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM
AHEAD OF THE LINE. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE ENHANCED
ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...AND NORTHERN FLORIDA ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 10...WHERE THE ENVIRONMENT MAY BE MOST SUPPORTIVE OF
DAMAGING WINDS. THE APPROXIMATE TIME FRAME OF THE THREAT IS FROM
NOON THROUGH 4 PM ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY REGION AND
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND FROM 3 PM THROUGH 8 PM ACROSS SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF AN INTENSIFYING STORM SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED
TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA. WIND GUSTS
MAY REACH OR EXCEED 30 MPH AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA FOR
TODAY.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS ANTICIPATED AT AREA BEACHES.
PLEASE SEE THE SURF ZONE FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THERE WILL BE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...THEN TRACKS
NORTHEASTWARD OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA OR NORTHERN FLORIDA. SOME
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY EXIST ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER WATCHES OR WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

WOLF/SHASHY